Prediction scenarios
Model-based probabilities for future events with transparent assumptions and update history. Educational only — not betting advice.
Featured reports
- Impact on MicroStrategy (MSTR) Stock Valuation During a Prolonged 50% Bitcoin Market CorrectionA prolonged 50% market correction in Bitcoin would severely contract MicroStrategy's (MSTR) stock valuation due to its heavy reliance on a leveraged Bitcoin treChoice Score: 94/100
- Will Dividend Growth ETFs Like SCHD Outperform Broad Market Index Funds Over a 20-Year Horizon?Whether dividend growth ETFs like SCHD will outperform broad market index funds over a 20-year horizon remains uncertain, as historical outperformance depends hChoice Score: 95/100
- Nifty 50 Index Recovery Prediction Analysis (Next 30 Days)Whether the Nifty 50 index will recover above 23,500 within the next 30 days remains highly uncertain and depends heavily on macroeconomic data releases, institChoice Score: 98/100
- Electric Vehicle Market Share in Europe by 2030Uncertain – current models predict around a 44% chance that electric cars will constitute a majority of sales by 2030.Choice Score: 90/100
- Will house prices crash in the next 5 years?A nationwide crash (a sharp 20%+ fall) is possible but not the most likely outcome — we estimate it at a low-to-moderate probability (~20–30%). Tight housing suChoice Score: 92/100
- Will remote work still be common in 2030?Almost certainly yes — we estimate a high likelihood (~80%) that remote and hybrid work remain common in 2030, though "hybrid" is the dominant form rather than Choice Score: 92/100
- Will electric cars be cheaper than gas cars by 2030?On upfront sticker price, probably in many segments but not universally — we estimate a moderate-to-high likelihood (~60–70%) that average new EVs reach purchasChoice Score: 79/100
- Probability of Romania Adopting the Euro by 2030Based on current signals, there is a moderate‑low chance (about 44%) that Romania will adopt the euro by 2030.Choice Score: 96/100
- Will OpenAI release GPT-6 in 2026? A Decision Intelligence Prediction ReportIt is unlikely that OpenAI will release GPT-6 in 2026, given historical release cadences and the growing training and compute timelines for frontier artificial Choice Score: 81/100
- Will electric vehicles outsell gasoline cars in Europe by 2030?Based on current trends and the model output, there is a moderate‑to‑low chance (≈44%) that EVs will outsell gasoline cars in Europe by 2030.Choice Score: 99/100